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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Sofia 42.2%
Draw 28%
Septemvri Sofia 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60%
23.7%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61%
23.3%
16%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Sofia's form might have worsened.
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Septemvri Sofia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+18.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Sofia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Septemvri Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
8.3%
66.7%
Lokomotiv Sofia - Septemvri Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Septemvri Sofia: 50.8% โ 88.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Septemvri Sofia (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DNB - Septemvri Sofia (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 1 - 25%). Septemvri Sofia (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Velichkov M. (G) 22. Daskalov R. 44. Katsarov B. 42. Neychev N. 14. Lyaskov A. 31. Stanoev K. (C) 13. Diego Raposo 11. Taoui A. 64. Yankov D. 7. Delev S. 77. Caue Caruzo
21. Georgiev Y. (C) 4. Hristov M. 19. Ivkic D. 26. Ozornwafor V. 23. Schouten R. 5. Baurenski Y. 18. Abou A. 30. Stamatov M. 17. Fontaine N. 9. Fourrier B. 7. Ribeiro E.
Substitutes
28. Acka D. 2. Ali D. 4. Dembele S. 5. Dost E. 45. Gerov E. 27. Lagundzic I. 24. Lyubenov A. (G) 26. Miloshev K. 10. Minchev G.
22. Georgiev P. 29. Herard F. 33. Ivanov G. 12. Krastev N. (G) 13. Onasci K. 28. Stoichkov S. 10. Stojanovic S. 27. Varbanov G. 3. Wade S.
Coaches
Genchev S.
Arangelov H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Yankov D. ⚽, Delev S. (A),
37', Daskalov R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Ozornwafor V. ⚽, Ivkic D. (A),
56', Neychev N. 🟨,
58', Schouten R. ↓, Onasci K. ↑,
62', Taoui A. ↓, Minchev G. ↑,
62', Diego Raposo ↓, Dost E. ↑,
64', Ribeiro E. ↓, Stojanovic S. ↑,
64', Stamatov M. ↓, Wade S. ↑,
73', Caue Caruzo ↓, Gerov E. ↑,
76', Fourrier B. 🟨,
82', Stanoev K. ↓, Acka D. ↑,
84', Baurenski Y. ↓, Ivanov G. ↑,
84', Abou A. ↓, Georgiev P. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 3.
Lokomotiv Sofia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Septemvri Sofia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Lokomotiv Sofia has had a series of away games.
In this match, Lokomotiv Sofia is seen as the favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
Bulgaria
Slovenia
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Velichkov M. (G) 
Diego Raposo 
Taoui A. 
Ivkic D. 
Ozornwafor V. 
Schouten R. 
Abou A. 
Fontaine N. 
Ribeiro E. 
Acka D. 
Gerov E. 
Lagundzic I. 
Herard F. 
Stojanovic S. 
Wade S. 
