The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botev Vratsa 50.9%
Draw 28%
Spartak Varna 21.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.7%
28.5%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
28.6%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botev Vratsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botev Vratsa's performance.
Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Varna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botev Vratsa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Varna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Botev Vratsa - Spartak Varna Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Botev Vratsa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
94. Orlinov M. (G) 3. Sanyang S. 4. Goranov I. 36. Stoev M. 25. Buchkov A. 24. Smolenski M. 12. Yurukov I. 10. Gallegos J. 7. Tsonev R. 97. Naydenov V. 79. Petkov M.
23. Iliev P. (G) 76. Valverde D. 5. Krastev D. 44. Granchov A. 29. Tindano Z. 19. Major S. 6. Sousa R. 77. Ivanov A. 11. Hanne B. 10. Jota Lopes 90. Chidera O. M.
Substitutes
11. Achkov M. 88. Boyanov L. 21. Dimitrov M. 9. Genov D. 90. Gigov F. 6. Kichukov A. 17. Mechev S. 8. Stoyanov A. 98. Vasilev L. (G)
7. Bua 9. Chunchukov T. 4. Ivanov B. 20. Lozev D. 72. Oliveira V. 14. Pavlov D. 16. Silva E. 45. Tshitoku J. 1. Victor P. (G)
Coaches
Simov T.
Petrov Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Valverde D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ivanov A. ↓, Ivanov B. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Hanne B. ⚽,
61', Granchov A. 🟨,
62', Jota Lopes ↓, Silva E. ↑,
67', Petkov M. 🟨,
74', Chidera O. M. ↓, Chunchukov T. ↑,
74', Valverde D. ↓, Lozev D. ↑,
74', Naydenov V. ↓, Genov D. ↑,
74', Gallegos J. ↓, Mechev S. ↑,
84', Sousa R. ↓, Oliveira V. ↑,
86', Buchkov A. ↓, Boyanov L. ↑,
90+4', Goranov I. 🟨,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 8th in the Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botev Vratsa won 2.
In recent outings, Botev Vratsa has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Spartak Varna is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Spartak Varna could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Botev Vratsa has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Botev Vratsa for this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Botev Vratsa has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:7 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Botev Vratsa against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:3 goals (averaging 1.7:0.5 per game).
Bulgaria
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Orlinov M. (G) 
Sanyang S. 
Gallegos J. 
Valverde D. 
Tindano Z. 
Major S. 
Sousa R. 
Chidera O. M. 
Bua 
Silva E. 
Tshitoku J. 
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