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Current Win Probability
Spartak Varna 15.5%
Draw 22.5%
CSKA Sofia 62%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.9%
21.1%
65.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.4%
20.2%
68.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Spartak Varna - CSKA Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
CSKA Sofia will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Iliev P. (G) 76. Valverde D. 44. Granchov A. 45. Tshitoku J. 4. Ivanov B. 19. Major S. 6. Sousa R. 77. Ivanov A. 11. Hanne B. 10. Jota Lopes 70. Ahmedov A.
21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 5. Gbamin J. 94. Solet I. 32. Rodriguez F. 19. Yordanov A. 30. Panayotov P. 11. Brahimi M. 8. Sensi S. 7. Ebong M. 10. Zwarts J. 28. Pittas I.
Substitutes
7. Bua 9. Chunchukov T. 80. Gomes A. 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 20. Lozev D. 17. Marinov T. 82. Silva T. 99. Trifonov G. 1. Victor P. (G)
80. Chorbadzhiyski G. B. 99. Eto'o J. 25. Evtimov D. (G) 9. Godoy L. 14. Ivanov T. 6. Jordao B. 38. Leo Pereira 17. Martino A. 3. Ouorou T. 2. Pastor 77. Piedrahita A.
Coaches
Petrov Y.
Yanev H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Pittas I. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Hanne B. ⚽,
36', Martino A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodriguez F. ↓, Gbamin J. ↑,
51', Ivanov A. 🟨,
57', Ebong M. ↓, Itu C. ↑,
58', Jota Lopes ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
58', Sousa R. ↓, Marinov T. ↑,
65', Iliev P. 🟨,
70', Valverde D. ↓, Lozev D. ↑,
71', Eto'o J. ↓, Solet I. ↑,
77', Pastor 🟨,
77', Ivanov A. ↓, Bua ↑,
78', Ahmedov A. ↓, Chunchukov T. ↑,
81', Jordao B. ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
90+3', Gbamin J. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 0.
Recent form of Spartak Varna has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
CSKA Sofia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, CSKA Sofia has had a series of home games.
In this match, CSKA Sofia is the team to beat.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.8:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
Bulgaria
Croatia
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Iliev P. (G) 
Valverde D. 
Tshitoku J. 
Major S. 
Sousa R. 
Lapoukhov F. (G) 
Gbamin J. 
Solet I. 
Rodriguez F. 
Brahimi M. 
Sensi S. 
Pittas I. 
Bua 
Gomes A. 
Juric-Petrasilo M. 
Eto'o J. 
Ouorou T. 
Piedrahita A. 
