Match Info
MALI: Premiere Division - Round 15Date: 16 March 2025, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Korofina |
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Bougouba |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
2.1 |
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 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
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 |
2.49 |
2.87 |
2.96 |
 Watch |
 |
2.46 |
2.82 |
2.96 |
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 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↓
(3.24) |
2.88 ↓
(3.18) |
2.76 ↑
(2.12) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Korofina
35.1% | Draw
31.8% | Bougouba
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korofina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Korofina's performance.Bougouba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bougouba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korofina than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Korofina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bougouba than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bougouba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Korofina - Bougouba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Diarra O. ⚽,
- 35', 0 - 2, Tiebkile S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 86', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 6). Korofina is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Bougouba is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Korofina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Recently Korofina have a series of guest games. Recently Bougouba have a series of home games. Bougouba will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Korofina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2:1.3). Including matches at home between the teams Korofina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Malian Première Division | | | 01.12.24 | Bougouba - Korofina | 3:2 | | 25.04.24 | Bougouba - Korofina | 1:0 | | 20.06.22 | Korofina - Bougouba | 4:1 | | 05.02.22 | Bougouba - Korofina | 0:2 |
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