Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 25

Date: 9 June 2026, Tuesday


	Bougouba		Diarra

	1	X	2
	2.90	2.65	2.50
	2.95	2.80	2.32	Watch
	3.13	2.69	2.42
	3.15	2.56	2.64	Watch
	3.00	2.50	2.45
	3.25	2.88	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.89)	2.68 ↓ (2.76)	2.46 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bougouba
29.5%

Draw
33.7%

Diarra
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

33.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

31.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bougouba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Diarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bougouba than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Bougouba - Diarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 4)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5).

Recent performances by Bougouba have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Diarra is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bougouba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bougouba won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Bougouba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Diarra	26	13	5	8	32:24	8	44
8	Bougouba	26	8	7	11	21:34	-13	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bougouba
Malian Première Division
05.06.26	Binga - Bougouba	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Bougouba - Bakaridjan	1:1 ✺
25.05.26	USFAS Bamako - Bougouba	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Bougouba - Mali Coura	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Bougouba - Onze Créateurs	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WTWTL
- FC Diarra
Malian Première Division
05.06.26	Diarra - Djoliba	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Afrique Football Elite - Diarra	0:1 ✺
25.05.26	Diarra - Korofina	0:0 ✺
22.05.26	Real Bamako - Diarra	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Diarra - Derby Académie	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
30.01.26	Diarra - Bougouba	0:0
26.05.25	Diarra - Bougouba	0:3
01.02.25	Bougouba - Diarra	1:1

Bougouba - Diarra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide