Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stade de la Libération (Boulogne-sur-Mer)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Boulogne		Orleans

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.2
	3	3.2	2.3
	3.16	3.2	2.38
	3.02	3.12	2.29	Watch
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.05	3.13	2.3	Watch
	3	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.71)	3.14 ↑ (3.11)	2.28 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boulogne
30.4%

Draw
29.3%

Orleans
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

30.8%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Boulogne - Orleans Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orleans will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Pandor Y. (G) 11. Averlant T. 12. Boyer J. 23. Dabo E. 24. Epailly T. 21. Hbouch A. 15. Pinot A. 9. Rambaud T. 20. Toure H. 8. Vercruysse J. 5. Zohore N.	1. Viot V. (G) 3. Baudry M. 11. Berthier G. 25. Bretelle L. 9. El Khoumisti F. 8. Giraudon J. 15. Goujon L. 22. Halby J. 10. Khous G. 12. Testud K. 21. Theresin V.
Substitutes
40. Delins V. (G) 17. Fatou C. 6. Flochon S. 18. Stoltz L. 26. Thiam D.	6. D'Arpino M. 14. Do Marcolino F. 4. Jean-Pierre M. 16. Matimbou O. (G) 20. Ponti R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Averlant T. ⚽, Vercruysse J. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Rambaud T. ⚽, Epailly T. (A),
43', Goujon L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 3 - 0, Rambaud T. (Pen),
59', Halby J. ↓, Jean-Pierre M. ↑,
59', Baudry M. ↓, Ponti R. ↑,
65', Testud K. ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
65', Bretelle L. ↓, D'Arpino M. ↑,
66', Averlant T. ↓, Thiam D. ↑,
77', Epailly T. ↓, Stoltz L. ↑,
77', 🟨,
81', Vercruysse J. ↓, Flochon S. ↑,
81', Rambaud T. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
89', Jean-Pierre M. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boulogne won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Boulogne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Boulogne won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:19 (average 1.3:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Boulogne won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
04.10.24	Aubagne - Boulogne	3:0 ✺
27.09.24	Boulogne - Nancy	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Paris 13 Atletico - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Boulogne - Le Mans	3:2 ✺
30.08.24	Boulogne - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTWWW
- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
09.10.24	Orleans - Valenciennes	4:1 ✺
04.10.24	Orleans - Dijon	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Sochaux - Orleans	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	Orleans - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Versailles - Orleans	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
21.01.22	Orleans - Boulogne	2:1
20.08.21	Boulogne - Orleans	1:1
03.04.21	Boulogne - Orleans	2:2
24.11.20	Orleans - Boulogne	1:0
22.04.16	Orleans - Boulogne	1:2
15.12.15	Boulogne - Orleans	4:3
16.05.14	Orleans - Boulogne	3:1

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