Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 15

Date: 13 December 2024, Friday

Location: Stade de la Libération (Boulogne-sur-Mer)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Boulogne		Villefranche

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.6
	1.98	3.3	3.7
	1.98	3.46	4.02
	1.86	3.32	4.02	Watch
	2	3.1	3.7
	1.92	3.32	3.85	Watch
	1.98	3.3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.02)	3.29 ↑ (3.27)	3.8 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boulogne
47.5%

Draw
28.1%

Villefranche
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.4%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

27.9%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Villefranche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Boulogne - Villefranche Predictions

Users Predictions: Boulogne will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Pandor Y. (G) 11. Averlant T. 27. Baalla A. 23. Dabo E. (C) 24. Epailly T. 21. Hbouch A. 15. Pinot A. 9. Rambaud T. 26. Thiam D. 20. Toure H. 8. Vercruysse J.	1. Pean S. (G) 19. Ba I. 14. Baseya S. 29. Bastian M. 20. Bentoumi M. 5. Couturier C. (C) 7. Diakite A. 8. Joly O. 4. Monzango N. 39. Negouai B. 3. Vinicius Gomes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Monzango N. 🟨,
20', Couturier C. 🟨,
32', Baalla A. 🟨,
34', Negouai B. 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bentoumi M. ↓, Valerio A. ↑,
60', Ba I. 🟨,
69', Epailly T. 🟨,
71', Negouai B. ↓, Abou Demba H. ↑,
75', Averlant T. ↓, Rodrigues A. ↑,
75', Baalla A. ↓, Busin A. ↑,
79', Ba I. ↓, Mballa Amougou E. ↑,
87', Epailly T. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
90+1', Fatou C. 🟨,
90+3', Pinot A. ↓, Cal C. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Toure H. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boulogne won 0.

Boulogne is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villefranche is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villefranche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Boulogne will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Boulogne won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Boulogne won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
06.12.24	Versailles - Boulogne	2:3 ✺
Coupe De France
01.12.24	Boulogne - Beauvais Oise	4:2 ✺
French Ligue 3
23.11.24	Boulogne - Concarneau	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
16.11.24	Houilles - Boulogne	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 3
08.11.24	Rouen FC - Boulogne	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWL
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
06.12.24	Villefranche - Dijon	1:0 ✺
22.11.24	Sochaux - Villefranche	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
16.11.24	Grenoble - Villefranche	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 3
08.11.24	Villefranche - Châteauroux	2:2 ✺
01.11.24	Villefranche - Versailles	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
01.03.22	Villefranche - Boulogne	2:1
03.09.21	Boulogne - Villefranche	0:1
27.02.21	Villefranche - Boulogne	1:1
28.09.20	Boulogne - Villefranche	0:0
02.08.19	Villefranche - Boulogne	1:0
29.03.19	Villefranche - Boulogne	2:1
02.11.18	Boulogne - Villefranche	0:0

Upcoming Matches