Match Info

National - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Villefranche		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.9
	2.3	3.05	3
	2.42	3.1	3.22
	5.86	1.32	6.53	Watch
	2.44	3.25	2.85	Watch
	2.28	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.09)	2.8 ↓ (3.23)	3.58 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villefranche
35%

Draw
36.5%

Châteauroux
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.6%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villefranche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villefranche's form might have worsened.

Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villefranche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Villefranche - Châteauroux Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Villefranche will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Villefranche (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Châteauroux (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Châteauroux (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Villefranche (votes: 1 - 20%). Châteauroux (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pean S. (G) 5. Kabeya E. 4. Valentim E. 12. Testud K. 14. Dekoke N. (C) 28. Ahamada A. 10. Mroivili R. 8. Marcel V. 18. Keita S. 27. Mixtur K. 26. Thoumin A.	16. Lavallee L. (G) 12. Koembo J. 4. Diarra D. (C) 17. Magassa B. 24. Goncalves A. 20. Bouaoune I. 8. Dembele S. 29. Zakouani H. 7. Ahmed A. 22. Trinker T. 19. Piquionne L.
Substitutes
21. Boudache I. 17. Camelo L. 19. Nagera K. 29. Ngom Matip T. 11. Sylla K.	21. El Hriti A. 10. Freitas R. 11. Konate A. 25. Noc M. 5. Tamba M'Pinda R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Kabeya E. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Piquionne L. ⚽, Koembo J. (A),
22', Dembele S. 🟨,
45+1', Koembo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ahamada A. ↓, Boudache I. ↑,
46', Kabeya E. ↓, Camelo L. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Camelo L. ⚽, Mroivili R. (A),
50', Camelo L. 🟨,
59', Trinker T. ↓, Noc M. ↑,
59', Zakouani H. ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
63', Mixtur K. ↓, Sylla K. ↑,
67', Piquionne L. ↓, Konate A. ↑,
70', Testud K. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
70', Bouaoune I. 🟨,
83', Dekoke N. 🟨,
86', Marcel V. 🟨,
87', Marcel V. ↓, Ngom Matip T. ↑,
88', Bouaoune I. ↓, Tamba M'Pinda R. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Sylla K. ⚽, Ngom Matip T. (A),
90+5', Noc M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villefranche won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Villefranche might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Villefranche won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Villefranche won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
26.09.25	Valenciennes - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Villefranche - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Dijon - Villefranche	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Villefranche - Fleury 91	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Villefranche - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTLW
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
26.09.25	Châteauroux - Caen	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Châteauroux - Stade Briochin	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Rouen FC - Châteauroux	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Châteauroux - Orleans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
04.04.25	Châteauroux - Villefranche	2:2
08.11.24	Villefranche - Châteauroux	2:2
03.05.24	Châteauroux - Villefranche	1:0
15.12.23	Villefranche - Châteauroux	2:2
28.04.23	Châteauroux - Villefranche	1:5
09.12.22	Villefranche - Châteauroux	1:1
29.04.22	Villefranche - Châteauroux	2:1

Villefranche - Châteauroux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide