Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel-Verchere (Bourg-en-Bresse)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Ligue 1+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Bourg-Péronnas		Caen

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.30	1.98
	3.5	3.35	1.95
	3.74	3.6	2.01
	3.22	3.43	2.04
	3.65	3.55	1.96
	3.54	3.54	1.98
	3.45	3.35	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.08)	3.45 ↑ (3.28)	1.98 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bourg-Péronnas
26.6%

Draw
26.8%

Caen
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.9%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.9%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bourg-Péronnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Bourg Péronnas - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montfort L. (C) 4. Dihad A. 27. Muro R. 29. Dede-Lhomme N. 21. Alberto E. 14. Krizoua A. 26. Groune A. 23. El Hajjami M. 8. Frayssinous T. 28. Gharbi A. 9. Mendes I.	16. Clementia Y. (G) 23. Carole L. 24. Milliner L. 12. Appiah D. (C) 3. Bolumbu D. 25. Bagbema Z. 18. Bomo F. 22. Hafid M. 10. Botella I. 20. Portut K. 9. El Khoumisti F.
Substitutes
11. Abraou Y. 12. Coelho G. 15. Ehling T. 13. Gomes T. 18. Kanoute Y. 33. Magassouba A. 40. Popp P. (G)	11. Gnanduillet A. 34. Kanoute D. 6. Kimboma J. 19. Lamouliatte H. 4. Mbaka S. 8. Noireau-Dauriat S. 40. Tutu R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, El Khoumisti F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, El Khoumisti F. ⚽, Hafid M. (A),
61', Alberto E. ↓, Magassouba A. ↑,
61', Alberto E. ↓, Magassouba A. ↑,
62', Frayssinous T. ↓, Abraou Y. ↑,
77', Groune A. ↓, Gomes T. ↑,
77', Portut K. ↓, Gnanduillet A. ↑,
77', Hafid M. ↓, Lamouliatte H. ↑,
80', Krizoua A. ↓, Ehling T. ↑,
82', Bagbema Z. 🟨,
87', Bagbema Z. ↓, Kimboma J. ↑,
87', Botella I. ↓, Kanoute D. ↑,
90', El Khoumisti F. ↓, Mbaka S. ↑,

Preview

Bourg-Péronnas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Caen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bourg-Péronnas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Caen has had a series of home games.

Caen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bourg-Péronnas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Bourg-Péronnas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Caen	9	5	0	4	17:12	5	15
17	Bourg en Bresse	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bourg-Péronnas
French Ligue 3
29.08.26	Aubagne - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Thionville Lusitanos	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Valenciennes - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Villefranche	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Dijon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWL
- SM Caen
French Ligue 3
27.08.26	Caen - Bastia	0:1 ✺
20.08.26	Caen - Aubagne	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Caen	4:3 ✺
07.08.26	Caen - Valenciennes	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Caen - Dieppe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
17.04.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Caen	0:2
21.11.25	Caen - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0

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