Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 25

Date: 17 March 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel-Verchere (Bourg-en-Bresse)


	Bourg-Péronnas		Red Star

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.2
	3.3	2.8	2.23
	3.1	3.05	2.28
	3.74	2.93	2.29
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.24	3.13	2.24	Watch
	3.15	2.95	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.7)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	2.24 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bourg-Péronnas
28.1%

Draw
31%

Red Star
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29.5%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bourg-Péronnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bourg-Péronnas's form might have worsened.

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bourg-Péronnas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	21.4%	71.4%

Bourg Péronnas - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bourg-Péronnas will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Red Star will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bourg-Péronnas won 1.

Bourg-Péronnas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Red Star is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Red Star have a series of home games.

Red Star will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Bourg-Péronnas won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Bourg-Péronnas won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bourg-Péronnas
French Ligue 3
10.03.23	Sedan - Bourg-Péronnas	0:0 ✺
03.03.23	Bourg-Péronnas - Villefranche	0:1 ✺
24.02.23	Stade Briochin - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
17.02.23	Bourg-Péronnas - Châteauroux	0:2 ✺
10.02.23	Cholet - Bourg-Péronnas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTLL
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
10.03.23	Red Star - Le Puy	2:3 ✺
06.03.23	Martigues - Red Star	0:2 ✺
24.02.23	Red Star - Avranches	1:2 ✺
10.02.23	Red Star - Le Mans	0:0 ✺
03.02.23	Red Star - Sedan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
12.10.22	Red Star - Bourg-Péronnas	0:1
22.04.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Red Star	0:2
03.12.21	Red Star - Bourg-Péronnas	2:1
09.02.21	Red Star - Bourg-Péronnas	0:0
10.11.20	Bourg-Péronnas - Red Star	0:4
24.01.20	Red Star - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1
17.08.19	Bourg-Péronnas - Red Star	1:4

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