Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 22

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel-Verchere (Bourg-en-Bresse)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Bourg-Péronnas		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	2.04
	3.51	3.15	2.06
	3.1	3	2.25
	3.73	3.24	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.8)	3.15 ↑ (3.14)	2.08 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bourg-Péronnas
25.9%

Draw
29.5%

Le Mans
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

29.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

28.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bourg-Péronnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bourg-Péronnas's form might have worsened.

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Mans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bourg-Péronnas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Mans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	30%	70%

Bourg Péronnas - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Jan C. (G) 22. Donio B. 4. Souleymane Z. 25. Laspalles R. 3. Jolibois C. 29. Magassouba M. 20. Karajcic V. 10. Aouladzian Y. 7. Morel J. 9. Traore A. K. 17. Labissiere B.	16. Kocik N. (G) 17. Yohou S. 33. Bernardeau G. 3. Burlet V. 5. Voyer H. 21. Eyoum T. 27. Rossignol M. 8. Lauray A. 12. Ribelin A. 9. Rabillard A. 25. Gueye D.
Substitutes
11. Dadoune O. 12. Irabor B. 1. Michelizzi P. (G) 24. Nadje G. 21. Sia D.	20. Diliwidi K. 18. Lamgahez Z. 34. Matumona J. 29. Oudjani A. 6. Quarshie E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Gueye D. ⚽, Bernardeau G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Morel J. ↓, Dadoune O. ↑,
65', Labissiere B. ↓, Irabor B. ↑,
72', Aouladzian Y. ↓, Nadje G. ↑,
72', Rossignol M. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
81', Bernardeau G. ↓, Oudjani A. ↑,
86', Magassouba M. ↓, Sia D. ↑,
86', Irabor B. 🟨,
90+1', Gueye D. ↓, Diliwidi K. ↑,
90+1', Ribelin A. ↓, Matumona J. ↑,
90+4', Rabillard A. 🟨,
90+4', Donio B. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bourg-Péronnas won 2.

Recent matches Bourg-Péronnas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Le Mans is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bourg-Péronnas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Le Mans will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bourg-Péronnas won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Bourg-Péronnas won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bourg-Péronnas
French Ligue 3
07.02.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Quevilly	1:1 ✺
31.01.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Châteauroux	0:0 ✺
24.01.25	Boulogne - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
10.01.25	Villefranche - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTTTT
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
14.02.25	Le Mans - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Dijon - Le Mans	0:5 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.25	Le Mans - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 3
31.01.25	Le Mans - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Villefranche - Le Mans	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
20.09.24	Le Mans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:2
21.04.23	Bourg-Péronnas - Le Mans	1:1
02.12.22	Le Mans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1
11.02.22	Le Mans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:2
03.09.21	Bourg-Péronnas - Le Mans	1:1
27.02.21	Bourg-Péronnas - Le Mans	2:0
25.09.20	Le Mans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0

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