Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 19

Date: 31 January 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Le Mans		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.3
	2.11	2.9	3.35
	2.13	3.16	3.79
	2.1	3.07	3.5	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.5
	2.1	3.14	3.66	Watch
	2.11	2.9	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.32)	3 ↓ (3.19)	3.49 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
43.4%

Draw
30.4%

Sochaux
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.3%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	57.1%	7.1%

Le Mans - Sochaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Sochaux will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kocik N. (G) 12. Ribelin A. 18. Lamgahez Z. 17. Yohou S. 21. Eyoum T. 3. Burlet V. 27. Rossignol M. 33. Bernardeau G. 8. Lauray A. 25. Gueye D. 9. Rabillard A.	1. Patouillet M. (G) 29. Dacosta J. 14. Peybernes M. 5. Moltenis B. 7. Ouammou N. 6. Drammeh M. 28. Mendes Da Silva E. 27. Michel D. 19. Lecolier M. 24. Jean C. 22. Loubao S.
Substitutes
34. Matumona J. 26. Oggad B. 24. Ouchen A. 29. Oudjani A. 31. Tronchet N.	26. Benchama S. 20. Durbant G. 15. Fontaine T. 31. Gnanduillet A. 8. Hoggas K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Lecolier M. ⚽, Loubao S. (A),
32', Kocik N. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Rabillard A. ⚽, Ribelin A. (A),
39', Dacosta J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lecolier M. ↓, Gnanduillet A. ↑,
68', Drammeh M. ↓, Hoggas K. ↑,
68', Loubao S. ↓, Durbant G. ↑,
73', Jean C. 🟨,
74', Ribelin A. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
74', Rabillard A. ↓, Matumona J. ↑,
79', Dacosta J. ↓, Benchama S. ↑,
80', Bernardeau G. ↓, Oudjani A. ↑,
88', Rossignol M. ↓, Ouchen A. ↑,
90', Mendes Da Silva E. 🟥,
90+5', Peybernes M. ↓, Fontaine T. ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).

Le Mans in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sochaux is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Le Mans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Le Mans will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Le Mans won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
24.01.25	Villefranche - Le Mans	0:3 ✺
18.01.25	Le Mans - Concarneau	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
14.01.25	Le Mans - Valenciennes	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 3
10.01.25	Rouen FC - Le Mans	2:2 ✺
Coupe De France
22.12.24	Marmande - Le Mans	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWTW
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 3
18.01.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
14.01.25	Guingamp - Sochaux	3:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 3
10.01.25	Sochaux - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
22.12.24	Sochaux - Clermont	1:0 penalties ✺
French Ligue 3
13.12.24	Dijon - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
30.08.24	Sochaux - Le Mans	0:1
09.03.24	Sochaux - Le Mans	2:2
29.09.23	Le Mans - Sochaux	2:1
French Ligue 2
07.02.20	Sochaux - Le Mans	1:0
30.08.19	Le Mans - Sochaux	2:0

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