Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2, SportsEngine Play


	Boyacá Chicó		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.75	Watch
	4.33	3.40	1.77
	4.4	3.3	1.8	Watch
	4.51	3.56	1.84
	4.49	3.53	1.79	Watch
	4.4	3.45	1.8
	4.33	3.42	1.82	Watch
	4.3	3.4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↓ (4.6)	3.45 ↓ (3.55)	1.8 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boyacá Chicó
21%

Draw
27.1%

Independiente Medellín
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

26.4%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

25.6%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+3%)

Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Agudelo D. (G) 24. Mosquera C. 4. Mena J. (C) 5. Alomia J. 3. Quiceno J. 6. Diaz J. 17. Sarria E. 8. Salazar S. 21. Pimentel J. 16. Mera S. 7. Cifuentes F.	1. Ichazo S. (G) 26. Mena Perea E. 4. Mantilla K. 5. Varela J. 13. Mena J. 34. Klinger K. 14. Perlaza B. (C) 16. Loboa H. 20. Montano J. 21. Martegani A. 9. Medina J.
Substitutes
10. Cabrera Y. 9. Camargo I. 30. Gomez M. 22. Maya A. 15. Navarro S. 19. Pimentel Betancourt J. 2. Polanco D. 20. Viveros S. 12. Zapata B. (G)	25. Chaux E. (G) 70. Cordoba J. 39. Escorcia L. 32. Lucumi C. 6. Moreno D. 31. Moreno D. 3. Murillo A. 30. Palacios H. 11. Yony Gonzalez
Coaches
Gomez J.	Perea L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Mera S. ⚽, Sarria E. (A),
10', Alomia J. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Medina J. ⚽, Loboa H. (A),
41', Mena Perea E. 🟨,
45+1', Martegani A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alomia J. ↓, Polanco D. ↑,
52', Pimentel J. ↓, Cabrera Y. ↑,
52', Cifuentes F. ↓, Maya A. ↑,
57', Salazar S. 🟨,
60', Quiceno J. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
66', Klinger K. ↓, Yony Gonzalez ↑,
66', Montano J. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Maya A. ⚽, Mosquera C. (A),
73', Loboa H. 🟨,
74', Salazar S. 🟨,
79', Martegani A. ↓, Lucumi C. ↑,
79', Loboa H. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
89', Cordoba J. ↓, Murillo A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 1.

Recent performances by Boyacá Chicó have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ind Medellín is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Boyacá Chicó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ind Medellín is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ind. Medellin	12	6	2	4	19:16	3	20
14	Chico	11	3	3	5	10:18	-8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
05.09.26	Boyacá Chicó - Once Caldas	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Rionegro Águilas - Boyacá Chicó	2:2 ✺
26.08.26	Boyacá Chicó - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTTLL
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Copa
09.09.26	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:4 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.09.26	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Medellín	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Independiente Medellín - Llaneros SA	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
20.08.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
22.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	2:0
19.07.25	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín	2:0
02.02.25	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	3:0
Colombian Copa
25.10.24	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	4:0 penalties
21.10.24	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín	1:4
Colombian Primera A
31.07.24	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	1:0
14.02.24	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín	3:0

Upcoming Matches