Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira)

Referee: Palencia M. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Deportivo Cali		Boyacá Chicó

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	7	Watch
	1.52	3.6	6.25
	1.52	3.85	7	Watch
	1.49	3.85	7.83
	1.5	3.7	7.73	Watch
	1.5	3.6	7
	1.49	3.78	7.7	Watch
	1.52	3.85	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.71)	3.82 ↑ (3.21)	7.19 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cali
62.5%

Draw
24.5%

Boyacá Chicó
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

29%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

28.4%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Cali's performance.

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Cali that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Deportivo Cali - Boyacá Chicó Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Cali will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Rodriguez A. (G) 27. Viafara F. 13. Angulo J. (C) 12. Caldera Alvis J. C. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 23. Colorado J. 30. Gordillo Y. 7. Barrera J. 10. Javier Reina 11. Estupinan A. 9. Rodriguez E.	1. Caicedo Vasquez R. A. (G) 6. Aedo A. 2. Riascos K. 30. Ojeda J. 18. Herrera J. 27. Londono K. 19. Lozano F. (C) 7. Arango E. 10. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 14. Banguero E. 9. Molina J.
Substitutes
17. Arango J. 28. Cabezas G. 36. Cuellar K. 33. Galindo J. 44. Graciano C. 22. Guruceaga G. (G) 42. Venecia I.	20. Arango W. 26. Banguero A. 28. Camargo E. 29. Colon S. 12. Denis D. (G) 21. Pimentel J. 16. Valencia R.
Coaches
Arias A.	Torres R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Caldera Alvis J. C. 🟨,
52', Colorado J. 🟨,
58', Estupinan A. ↓, Arango J. ↑,
59', Colorado J. ↓, Cabezas G. ↑,
72', Arango E. ↓, Valencia R. ↑,
72', Banguero E. ↓, Pimentel J. ↑,
72', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Camargo E. ↑,
74', Angulo J. ↓, Venecia I. ↑,
74', Viafara F. ↓, Cuellar K. ↑,
81', Caicedo Vasquez R. A. 🟨,
86', Caldera Alvis J. C. ↓, Graciano C. ↑,
88', Londono K. ↓, Banguero A. ↑,
89', Gordillo Y. 🟨,
90', Molina J. ↓, Colon S. ↑,
90+5', Colon S. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cali won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Deportivo Cali could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Deportivo Cali is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cali won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 31:14 (average 1.6:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Cali won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21:6 (average 2.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
03.03.25	Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Cali	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Deportivo Cali - Millonarios	3:1 ✺
18.02.25	Llaneros SA - Deportivo Cali	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWTL
- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
28.02.25	Boyacá Chicó - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
21.02.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Boyacá Chicó	0:1 ✺
18.02.25	Boyacá Chicó - Junior Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
10.08.24	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali	1:0
09.02.24	Deportivo Cali - Boyacá Chicó	4:0
07.11.23	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali	1:1
17.05.23	Deportivo Cali - Boyacá Chicó	0:0
02.02.21	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali	0:1
14.10.20	Deportivo Cali - Boyacá Chicó	3:1
05.08.18	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali	1:1

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