Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 5

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)


	Boyacá Chicó		Llaneros SA

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.6	Watch
	2.2	2.92	3.35	Watch
	2.23	2.94	3.63
	2.30	2.47	4.37	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.18	2.8	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.55)	2.82 ↑ (2.8)	3.61 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boyacá Chicó
41.6%

Draw
32.8%

Llaneros SA
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

33.3%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

32.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Llaneros SA will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Boyacá Chicó (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boyacá Chicó (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Miranda L. ⚽,
79', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Llaneros SA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Boyacá Chicó - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.59%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Copa
23.05.26	Millonarios - Boyacá Chicó	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Cali	4:0 ✺
06.05.26	Patriotas - Boyacá Chicó	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.05.26	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Inter Bogotá - Boyacá Chicó	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWTWL
- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Copa
20.05.26	Llaneros SA - Patriotas	3:1 ✺
11.05.26	Millonarios - Llaneros SA	1:0 ✺
07.05.26	Llaneros SA - Atlético Cali	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.05.26	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
02.05.26	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	3:0
23.07.25	Llaneros SA - Boyacá Chicó	2:1
08.02.25	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	2:2
Colombian Primera B
01.11.22	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	3:0
18.10.22	Llaneros SA - Boyacá Chicó	1:0
08.10.22	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	1:1
02.06.22	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	2:1

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