The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boyacá Chicó 46%
Draw 29.2%
Cúcuta Deportivo 24.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.6%
29.9%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
29.7%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boyacá Chicó's performance.
Cúcuta Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cúcuta Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boyacá Chicó that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cúcuta Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Boyacá Chicó - Cúcuta Deportivo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Agudelo D. (G) 24. Mosquera C. 5. Alomia J. 4. Mena J. (C) 14. Blanco Betancur C. 17. Sarria E. 8. Salazar S. 6. Diaz J. 16. Mera S. 22. Maya A. 21. Pimentel J.
12. Abadia F. (C) 33. Tamara S. 2. Lopes H. 4. Quinones J. 30. Montano B. 5. Mejia V. 20. Perez D. 10. Berdugo L. 77. Neneco 11. Torres G. 9. Peralta J.
Substitutes
10. Cabrera Y. 29. Carabali L. 7. Cifuentes F. 15. Navarro S. 19. Pimentel Betancourt J. 2. Polanco D. 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 20. Viveros S. 12. Zapata B. (G)
26. Abonia Y. 32. Agudelo J. 3. Calcaterra D. 21. Carabali Lopez M. B. 8. Ceballos J. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. 1. Ramirez J. (G) 29. Rios L. 15. Vasquez S.
Coaches
Gomez J.
Chiesa N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Mosquera C. 🟨,
30', Alomia J. 🟨,
44', Mena J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Peralta J. 🟨,
60', Pimentel J. ↓, Cabrera Y. ↑,
60', Maya A. ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
63', Mejia V. 🟨,
66', Tamara S. ↓, Abonia Y. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Perez D. ⚽, Peralta J. (A),
71', Perez D. ↓, Carabali Lopez M. B. ↑,
71', Torres G. ↓, Calcaterra D. ↑,
74', Salazar S. ↓, Cifuentes F. ↑,
84', Berdugo L. ↓, Ceballos J. ↑,
84', Mejia V. ↓, Vasquez S. ↑,
86', Mera S. ↓, Polanco D. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 14th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Boyacá Chicó (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Cúcuta have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cúcuta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Boyacá Chicó holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Boyacá Chicó has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:25 (averaging 1.7:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Boyacá Chicó against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 18:12 goals (averaging 2.3:1.5 per game).
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Agudelo D. (G) 
Abadia F. (C) 
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