Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 18

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio)

Referee: Bautista J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Llaneros SA		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.88	3.2	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.8
	2.22	2.98	3.45
	2.22	3.07	3.83
	2.18	3.11	3.52	Watch
	2.45	2.8	3
	2.2	2.95	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.25)	2.96 ↓ (3.03)	3.34 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros SA
40.3%

Draw
31.7%

Alianza Valledupar
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

29.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Loaiza J. (G) 2. Mena Posada H. H. 23. Moralez A. 21. Meza F. (C) 35. Caicedo K. 77. Rincon K. 17. Benitez B. 94. Medranda J. 11. Marimon L. 10. Ospina N. 95. Jhon Vasquez	1. Wallens J. (G) 16. Rosales Y. 5. Franco P. (C) 23. Viveros J. 33. Lasso J. 27. Londono Y. 15. Esparragoza C. 10. Fernandez W. 8. Munoz J. 17. Pardo F. 29. Lucumi C.
Substitutes
15. Blanco J. 99. Castro J. 24. Cordoba C. 16. Escobar Salcedo J. 33. Kelvin Osorio 26. Quintero D. 22. Romana Garavito R. (G) 6. Sierra M. 3. Vidal V.	24. Banguero E. 12. Beltran E. (G) 21. Cantillo F. 7. Castillo J. 22. Figueroa J. 26. Martinez M. 30. Valoyes J.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Ayala C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Medranda J. ↓, Escobar Salcedo J. ↑,
60', Franco P. 🟨,
64', Londono Y. 🟨,
66', Viveros J. 🟨,
68', Benitez B. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
69', Marimon L. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
72', Pardo F. ↓, Valoyes J. ↑,
79', Lucumi C. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
79', Londono Y. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
80', Caicedo K. ↓, Kelvin Osorio ↑,
84', Mena Posada H. H. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
87', Fernandez W. ↓, Cantillo F. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+4', Sierra M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 17).

Llaneros SA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alianza is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Llaneros SA has had a series of away games.

Llaneros SA could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Llaneros	13	4	2	7	15:17	-2	14
15	Alianza	13	3	3	7	14:26	-12	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
19.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Llaneros SA	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Deportivo Cali - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA	0:1 ✺
30.03.26	Llaneros SA - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
25.03.26	América de Cali - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LTWTT
- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
19.04.26	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Inter Bogotá - Alianza Valledupar	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Deportivo Pereira - Alianza Valledupar	2:3 ✺
01.04.26	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto	0:0 ✺
27.03.26	Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
27.09.25	Alianza Valledupar - Llaneros SA	3:1
11.04.25	Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar	0:1

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