Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Boyacá Chicó		Unión Magdalena

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	5.75	Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.1
	1.75	3.35	4.95	Watch
	1.73	3.35	5.6
	2.34	2.10	6.01	Watch
	1.85	3	4.5
	1.77	3.3	5.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.01)	3.09 ↑ (3)	5.16 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boyacá Chicó
50.9%

Draw
30.7%

Unión Magdalena
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

31.2%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

31.3%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Boyacá Chicó - Unión Magdalena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Denis D. (G) 17. Ampudia J. 26. Banguero A. 4. Peralta E. 5. Jordan J. 28. Camargo E. 19. Cortes K. 7. Arango E. 16. Hernandez V. (C) 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 9. Molina J.	1. Mattalia J. (G) 27. Lerma J. 6. Ortiz D. 18. Molina F. 26. Tello J. 24. Cantillo F. (C) 28. Mercado J. 3. Ramos N. 9. Iguaran C. 21. Marquez R. 10. Sarmiento J.
Substitutes
29. Barrera S. 1. Caicedo Vasquez R. A. (G) 20. Dieppa A. 14. Garcia E. 30. Gomez M. 18. Johan Bocanegra 27. Londono K. 99. Palacios B. 24. Valencia A.	16. Congo J. 19. Diaz K. 20. Giraldo J. 80. Hinojosa R. 23. Lastre E. 4. Murillo D. 5. Penaloza J. 2. Sagrera W. 12. Tasso M. (G)
Coaches
Torres F.	Silva C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Lerma J. 🟨,
28', Molina J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lerma J. ↓, Murillo D. ↑,
46', Camargo E. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
48', Molina F. 🟨,
56', Jordan J. ↓, Johan Bocanegra ↑,
61', Marquez R. 🟨,
63', Mattalia J. 🟨,
67', Tello J. 🟥,
69', Iguaran C. ↓, Sagrera W. ↑,
77', Cortes K. ↓, Londono K. ↑,
77', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Dieppa A. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Johan Bocanegra ⚽,
82', Ortiz D. 🟨,
85', Marquez R. ↓, Lastre E. ↑,
85', Sarmiento J. ↓, Hinojosa R. ↑,
85', Ramos N. ↓, Diaz K. ↑,
90+1', Hernandez V. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 2.

Recent form of Boyacá Chicó has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Unión Magdalena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Boyacá Chicó will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.2:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
25.08.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Rionegro Águilas - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo La Equidad	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Junior Barranquilla - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pasto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTLT
- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A
24.08.25	Unión Magdalena - Alianza Valledupar	2:3 ✺
20.08.25	Millonarios - Unión Magdalena	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Deportivo Cali - Unión Magdalena	3:1 ✺
07.08.25	Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
16.03.25	Unión Magdalena - Boyacá Chicó	1:1
14.08.23	Boyacá Chicó - Unión Magdalena	0:0
10.05.23	Unión Magdalena - Boyacá Chicó	0:0
Colombian Primera B
30.10.21	Boyacá Chicó - Unión Magdalena	1:0
21.09.17	Boyacá Chicó - Unión Magdalena	3:0
20.03.17	Unión Magdalena - Boyacá Chicó	1:2

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