Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 6

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Attilio Bravi (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Arena


	Bra		Livorno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.15	3.1	2.18
	3.41	3.15	2.21
	8.93	3.73	1.44	Watch
	3.19	3.1	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (2.73)	3.27 ↑ (2.93)	2 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bra
21%

Draw
30%

Livorno
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

31.2%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

29.9%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bra's form might have worsened.

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Livorno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bra than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Livorno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bra - Livorno Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bra will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Franzini D. (G) 5. Chiesa D. 31. De Santis E. 6. Sganzerla R. 72. Cucciniello F. P. 47. La Marca M. 77. Brambilla A. 10. Pautassi M. (C) 92. Baldini E. 11. Sinani I. 21. Minaj E.	22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 15. Ghezzi S. 2. Gentile D. 26. Noce M. 77. Mawete J. C. 4. Odjer M. 28. Hamlili Z. 14. Biondi K. 95. Marchesi F. 70. Cioffi A. 9. Dionisi F.
Substitutes
27. Campedelli R. 4. Cannistra P. 80. Chiabotto V. 99. Chianese A. 25. Corsi L. 9. Di Biase G. 28. Dimatteo S. 14. Lionetti G. 20. Morleo U. 55. Nesci 36. Rabuffi M. 22. Renzetti D. (G) 3. Rottensteiner B. 19. Sammouni R. 8. Tuzza S.	19. Antoni E. 49. Baldi L. 16. Calvosa A. 13. Di Carmine S. 20. Haveri K. 11. Malva A. 23. Marinari J. 5. Nwachukwu S. J. 17. Panaioli L. 18. Panattoni M. 55. Peralta D. 1. Tani F. (G) 8. Welbeck N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Dionisi F. (Pen),
45+3', Odjer M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Odjer M. ↓, Welbeck N. ↑,
46', Chiesa D. ↓, Lionetti G. ↑,
56', Gentile D. ↓, Antoni E. ↑,
65', Brambilla A. ↓, Tuzza S. ↑,
68', La Marca M. ↓, Di Biase G. ↑,
69', Di Biase G. 🟨,
71', Ghezzi S. ↓, Baldi L. ↑,
71', Cioffi A. ↓, Panaioli L. ↑,
74', Noce M. 🟨,
76', Marchesi F. 🟨,
80', Dionisi F. ↓, Panattoni M. ↑,
81', Lionetti G. 🟨,
86', Minaj E. ↓, Sammouni R. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Livorno is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Bra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Bra
Italian Serie C Group B
20.09.25	Gubbio - Bra	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Bra - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Ravenna - Bra	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Bra - Perugia	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Sambenedettese - Bra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLTL
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
20.09.25	Livorno - Ascoli	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Vis Pesaro - Livorno	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Livorno - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Juventus U23 - Livorno	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Livorno - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
01.06.25	Bra - Livorno	1:4
24.05.25	Livorno - Bra	2:1

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