Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Bradford Park Avenue		Bamber Bridge

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.93
	3.3	3.6	1.95
	3.3	3.97	1.93
	3.3	3.97	1.93
	2.88	3.5	2.05
	3.24	3.56	1.95
	3.3	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.4)	3.67 ↑ (3.61)	1.96 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford Park Avenue
28.5%

Draw
24.9%

Bamber Bridge
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

25.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

24.9%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bradford Park Avenue's form might have worsened.

Bamber Bridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bamber Bridge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bradford Park Avenue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bamber Bridge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bradford Park Avenue - Bamber Bridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 15).

Bradford PA is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bamber is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bamber will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bradford PA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford Park Avenue
English NPL Premier Division
16.12.23	Macclesfield Town - Bradford Park Avenue	3:4 ✺
09.12.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Atherton Collieries	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Lancaster City - Bradford Park Avenue	2:2 ✺
18.11.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Matlock Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLTLL
- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
16.12.23	Bamber Bridge - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Hyde United - Bamber Bridge	2:2 ✺
05.12.23	Marine - Bamber Bridge	4:1 ✺
28.11.23	Bamber Bridge - Worksop Town	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Radcliffe - Bamber Bridge	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
19.08.23	Bamber Bridge - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1

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