Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Macclesfield Town		Bradford Park Avenue

	1	X	2
	1.19	6	10.5
	1.2	5.5	12
	1.2	6.95	10.14
	1.2	6.95	10.14
	1.22	6	7
	1.17	6.25	11.25
	1.2	5.5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.36)	6.16 ↑ (4.65)	10.43 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macclesfield Town
76.4%

Draw
14.8%

Bradford Park Avenue
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

19.5%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

18.5%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Macclesfield Town's performance.

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Macclesfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Macclesfield Town - Bradford Park Avenue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Macclesfield in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bradford PA has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Macclesfield is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Macclesfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macclesfield Town
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Curzon Ashton - Macclesfield Town	0:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
25.11.23	Macclesfield Town - Guiseley	5:1 ✺
21.11.23	Macclesfield Town - Atherton Collieries	6:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Alfreton Town - Macclesfield Town	2:4 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
14.11.23	Macclesfield Town - Basford United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWWT
- Bradford Park Avenue
English NPL Premier Division
09.12.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Atherton Collieries	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Lancaster City - Bradford Park Avenue	2:2 ✺
18.11.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Matlock Town	2:3 ✺
04.11.23	Basford United - Bradford Park Avenue	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
12.08.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Macclesfield Town	0:2

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