Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Lancaster City		Bradford Park Avenue

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	4.75
	1.57	3.75	5
	1.55	4.15	4.42
	1.56	4.15	4.42
	1.57	3.75	4.5
	1.55	3.86	5.05
	1.57	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.75)	3.88 ↑ (3.6)	4.73 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lancaster City
57.8%

Draw
23.2%

Bradford Park Avenue
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.1%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

22.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lancaster City's performance.

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lancaster City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bradford Park Avenue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lancaster City - Bradford Park Avenue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Lancaster is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bradford PA is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lancaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lancaster is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
14.11.23	Lancaster City - Ashton United	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Lancaster City - United of Manchester	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Lancaster City	1:0 ✺
31.10.23	Basford United - Lancaster City	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Lancaster City - Warrington Rylands	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLLT
- Bradford Park Avenue
English NPL Premier Division
18.11.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Matlock Town	2:3 ✺
04.11.23	Basford United - Bradford Park Avenue	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Marske United	1:0 ✺
23.10.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Whitby Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWT

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