Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 41

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Bradford Park Avenue		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.9	1.75
	3.6	4	1.75
	3.61	4.09	1.81
	3.61	4.09	1.81
	3.3	3.7	1.8
	3.89	3.79	1.79
	3.6	4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.8)	3.94 ↓ (4.8)	1.78 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford Park Avenue
25.5%

Draw
23.2%

Gainsborough Trinity
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

18.9%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

18.7%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford Park Avenue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gainsborough Trinity might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gainsborough Trinity could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
19', 0 - 1, Howe D. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Howe D. ⚽,
38', 0 - 3, Preston F. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 3, Lavelle T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', Cogill D. 🟥,
69', 2 - 3, Daniels J. ⚽,
78', 3 - 3, Daniels J. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bradford PA won 3.

Recent matches Bradford PA is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gainsborough is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gainsborough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gainsborough is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Bradford PA won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Bradford PA won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford Park Avenue
English NPL Premier Division
06.04.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Basford United	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Radcliffe	2:3 ✺
30.03.24	Ilkeston - Bradford Park Avenue	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Worksop Town	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Whitby Town - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTLT
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
16.04.24	Matlock Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:4 ✺
13.04.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Hyde United	4:1 ✺
06.04.24	Lancaster City - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Bamber Bridge - Gainsborough Trinity	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
18.11.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1
English National League North
05.02.18	Bradford Park Avenue - Gainsborough Trinity	5:0
05.09.17	Gainsborough Trinity - Bradford Park Avenue	0:3
11.02.17	Bradford Park Avenue - Gainsborough Trinity	5:1
06.08.16	Gainsborough Trinity - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1
30.04.16	Bradford Park Avenue - Gainsborough Trinity	1:4
30.01.16	Gainsborough Trinity - Bradford Park Avenue	0:1

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