Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Stafford Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	4.5
	1.6	3.75	4.75
	1.64	4.18	4.38
	1.65	4.19	4.39
	1.62	4	4.33
	1.6	3.84	4.75
	1.6	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)	3.92 ↓ (4.05)	4.55 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
56.6%

Draw
23.3%

Stafford Rangers
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

22.7%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

21.8%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Stafford Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Howe D. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Howe D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, German O. (Pen),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 1.

Gainsborough is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Stafford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stafford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gainsborough is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gainsborough to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Gainsborough won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
30.03.24	Bamber Bridge - Gainsborough Trinity	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Workington	4:2 ✺
16.03.24	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Whitby Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Whitby Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLWW
- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
30.03.24	Stafford Rangers - Workington	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Bamber Bridge - Stafford Rangers	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Stafford Rangers - Macclesfield Town	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Stafford Rangers - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Stafford Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.12.23	Stafford Rangers - Gainsborough Trinity	4:0
07.01.23	Stafford Rangers - Gainsborough Trinity	3:4
20.08.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Stafford Rangers	0:0
29.01.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Stafford Rangers	1:1
16.10.21	Stafford Rangers - Gainsborough Trinity	0:0
10.03.20	Stafford Rangers - Gainsborough Trinity	2:2
26.01.19	Gainsborough Trinity - Stafford Rangers	1:1

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