Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Bradford Park Avenue		Hereford

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.95
	3.4	3.3	1.92
	3.25	3.5	1.97
	3.47	3.34	1.88
	3.25	3.3	2.05
	3.54	3.54	1.9
	3.3	3.55	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 (3.34)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	1.95 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford Park Avenue
27.1%

Draw
26.5%

Hereford
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

27%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

26.5%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Bradford Park Avenue - Hereford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 2.

Bradford Park Avenue is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hereford is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bradford Park Avenue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hereford will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Bradford Park Avenue won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford Park Avenue
English National League North
08.10.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Curzon Ashton	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Southport - Bradford Park Avenue	4:1 ✺
24.09.22	Fylde - Bradford Park Avenue	3:1 ✺
12.09.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Darlington	1:3 ✺
03.09.22	Leamington - Bradford Park Avenue	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLLL
- Hereford FC
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Bromley - Hereford	1:2 ✺
English National League North
08.10.22	Boston United - Hereford	2:4 ✺
27.09.22	Hereford - Leamington	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Hereford - Blyth Spartans	3:0 ✺
13.09.22	Brackley Town - Hereford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
23.04.22	Hereford - Bradford Park Avenue	3:2
21.08.21	Bradford Park Avenue - Hereford	1:1
27.10.20	Hereford - Bradford Park Avenue	0:2
11.01.20	Hereford - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1
12.10.19	Bradford Park Avenue - Hereford	3:2
22.12.18	Bradford Park Avenue - Hereford	1:0
25.08.18	Hereford - Bradford Park Avenue	1:2

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