Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday


	Brackley Town		Hereford

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.08	3.28	3.42
	2.08	3.51	3.35
	2.14	3.54	3.13
	2.1	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.17)	3.36 ↓ (3.61)	3.23 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
44.1%

Draw
27.4%

Hereford
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

25.2%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.6%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Brackley Town - Hereford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Babos A. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Lowe M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 2, Campbell T. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brackley won 2.

Recent matches Brackley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hereford is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brackley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Brackley won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Brackley won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League North
26.08.24	Spennymoor Town - Brackley Town	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton	4:0 ✺
20.08.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Chester - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Brackley Town - Scunthorpe United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLWL
- Hereford FC
English National League North
26.08.24	Hereford - Radcliffe	3:3 ✺
24.08.24	Southport - Hereford	1:4 ✺
20.08.24	Hereford - Peterborough Sports	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Chorley - Hereford	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Hereford - South Shields	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
16.03.24	Brackley Town - Hereford	2:0
07.11.23	Hereford - Brackley Town	1:0
10.04.23	Hereford - Brackley Town	2:2
13.09.22	Brackley Town - Hereford	2:1
02.05.22	Hereford - Brackley Town	2:2
08.01.22	Brackley Town - Hereford	1:0
16.02.21	Hereford - Brackley Town	2:0

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