Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 18

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Boston United		Hereford

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3
	2.15	3.2	2.85
	2.2	3.4	3	Watch
	2.31	3.37	3.25
	2.21	3.37	3.25
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.17	3.32	3.13
	2.23	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2)	3.3 ↓ (3.42)	3.03 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
41.8%

Draw
27.9%

Hereford
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

26.6%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

26.9%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Boston United - Hereford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boston United won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Boston United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Boston United won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Boston United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League North
07.11.23	Farsley - Boston United	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Spennymoor Town - Boston United	0:0 ✺
31.10.23	Boston United - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Boston United - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Boston United - Banbury United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTWL
- Hereford FC
English National League North
07.11.23	Hereford - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Hereford - Gillingham	0:2 ✺
English National League North
28.10.23	Chorley - Hereford	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Alfreton Town - Hereford	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
01.04.23	Hereford - Boston United	1:1
08.10.22	Boston United - Hereford	2:4
05.02.22	Hereford - Boston United	2:1
30.10.21	Boston United - Hereford	2:0
31.08.19	Hereford - Boston United	0:0
27.04.19	Hereford - Boston United	0:2
27.10.18	Boston United - Hereford	3:1

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