Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 32

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Edgar Street (Hereford)


	Hereford		Blyth Spartans

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3
	2.1	3.6	3.1
	2.12	3.35	3.01
	2.14	3.41	3.35
	2	3.5	3
	2.09	3.44	3.24
	2.12	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.7)	3.41 ↓ (3.74)	3.11 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
43.8%

Draw
26.8%

Blyth Spartans
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.6%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

24.8%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hereford's form might have worsened.

Blyth Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blyth Spartans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hereford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blyth Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hereford - Blyth Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hereford won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Blyth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hereford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hereford won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hereford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
30.01.24	Hereford - South Shields	0:3 ✺
27.01.24	Darlington - Hereford	2:0 ✺
23.01.24	Rushall Olympic - Hereford	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Hereford - King`s Lynn Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Hereford - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWTW
- Blyth Spartans
English National League North
27.01.24	Blyth Spartans - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
23.01.24	Blyth Spartans - Scarborough Athletic	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Gloucester City - Blyth Spartans	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Blyth Spartans - Banbury United	2:2 ✺
06.01.24	Bishops Stortford - Blyth Spartans	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
19.08.23	Blyth Spartans - Hereford	2:1
29.04.23	Blyth Spartans - Hereford	5:0
24.09.22	Hereford - Blyth Spartans	3:0
26.03.22	Blyth Spartans - Hereford	1:4
16.11.21	Hereford - Blyth Spartans	2:0
14.11.20	Blyth Spartans - Hereford	0:3
17.08.19	Blyth Spartans - Hereford	0:1

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