Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday


	Southport		Bradford Park Avenue

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4
	1.72	3.45	4.2
	1.74	3.65	4
	1.78	3.59	4.49
	1.7	3.4	4.6
	1.74	3.52	4.3
	1.74	3.65	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.8)	3.54 ↑ (3.4)	4.23 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
52.7%

Draw
25.8%

Bradford Park Avenue
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Southport - Bradford Park Avenue Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Southport will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Bradford PA will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Southport won 4.

Southport is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bradford Park Avenue has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Southport is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Southport won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Southport won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
24.09.22	Southport - Leamington	1:0 ✺
13.09.22	Chester - Southport	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Banbury United - Southport	3:1 ✺
29.08.22	Fylde - Southport	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Southport - AFC Telford United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLT
- Bradford Park Avenue
English National League North
24.09.22	Fylde - Bradford Park Avenue	3:1 ✺
12.09.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Darlington	1:3 ✺
03.09.22	Leamington - Bradford Park Avenue	1:0 ✺
29.08.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Spennymoor Town	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Chorley - Bradford Park Avenue	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
07.05.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Southport	0:5
18.01.22	Southport - Bradford Park Avenue	1:0
17.11.20	Bradford Park Avenue - Southport	0:2
01.02.20	Southport - Bradford Park Avenue	3:3
26.10.19	Bradford Park Avenue - Southport	0:3
23.03.19	Southport - Bradford Park Avenue	2:2
08.12.18	Bradford Park Avenue - Southport	2:2

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