Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 11

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Braga B		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.75
	2.35	3.2	2.8
	2.45	3.48	2.82
	2.45	3.48	2.82
	2.39	3.29	2.78
	2.24	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.39)	3.3 ↓ (3.41)	2.8 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga B
39.1%

Draw
27.9%

Académica Coimbra
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.5%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

27.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Braga B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 63. Beirao R. 55. Chissumba 61. Eiro 75. Jean-Marie M. 46. Junior M. 66. Moreira V. (C) 59. Said Y. 90. Soumare E. H. 80. Vasconcelos 73. Ze Pedro	98. Alves C. (G) 6. Aloisio Neto 13. Amaro D. 75. Costa D. 17. Henrique L. 10. Lourenco F. (C) 9. Perea J. 79. Silva J. 42. Tavares A. 19. Veiga T. 22. Xico
Substitutes
68. Cunha N. 72. Ferreira A. 99. Kauan Kelvin 98. Machado G. (G) 62. Matos N. 86. Rei R. 50. Rodrigues D. 97. Rodrigues D. 58. Vilela M.	7. Filipe G. 16. Gomes V. 20. Resende J. 30. Rodrigues M. 91. Santos B. (G) 77. Seco H. 11. Teles D. 21. Victor J. 12. Vitinha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Tavares A. 🟨,
40', Soumare E. H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lourenco F. ↓, Gomes V. ↑,
46', Amaro D. ↓, Rodrigues M. ↑,
46', Silva J. ↓, Seco H. ↑,
61', Vasconcelos ↓, Kauan Kelvin ↑,
69', Veiga T. ↓, Filipe G. ↑,
77', Seco H. 🟥,
82', Perea J. ↓, Victor J. ↑,
84', Eiro ↓, Matos N. ↑,
84', Soumare E. H. ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
85', Junior M. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 1, Henrique L. (Pen),
90+10', 1 - 1, Said Y. ⚽,
90+13', Bernardo 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braga B won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Braga B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Braga B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
20.04.24	Covilhã - Braga B	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Braga B - Varzim	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Alverca - Braga B	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Atlético CP - Braga B	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Braga B - Felgueiras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWLWW
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
20.04.24	Académica Coimbra - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Académica Coimbra - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Varzim - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Académica Coimbra - Alverca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
03.03.24	Académica Coimbra - Braga B	0:3
Portuguese Liga 2
16.03.19	Académica Coimbra - Braga B	1:0
11.11.18	Braga B - Académica Coimbra	0:1
21.01.18	Braga B - Académica Coimbra	0:3
12.08.17	Académica Coimbra - Braga B	2:0
24.04.17	Braga B - Académica Coimbra	1:0
04.12.16	Académica Coimbra - Braga B	1:0

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