Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 10

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Santos Pinto (Covilhã)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Covilhã		Braga B

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.85
	2.2	3.25	2.95
	2.4	3.42	2.96
	2.4	3.42	2.94
	2.28	3.29	2.95
	2.2	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.39)	3.3 ↓ (3.33)	2.93 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
40.6%

Draw
27.9%

Braga B
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.1%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

28.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Braga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Covilhã - Braga B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Braga B will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Makaridze G. (G) 6. Moreira T. 3. Casagrande P. 24. Tomas N. 13. Michel 8. Gilberto (C) 80. Renato Luis 82. Figueiredo B. 20. Gildo 99. Benedict E. 19. Joao Vasco	31. Bernardo (G) 72. Ferreira A. 62. Matos N. 46. Junior M. 73. Ze Pedro 55. Chissumba 80. Vasconcelos 66. Moreira V. (C) 90. Soumare E. H. 59. Said Y. 75. Jean-Marie M.
Substitutes
88. Borges M. 9. Chico Cardoso 15. Ferreira D. 71. Joao Goncalo (G) 44. Monteiro I. 23. Pereira J. 7. Traquina 21. Valente A. 10. Ze Tiago	78. Carvalho J. (G) 68. Cunha N. 61. Eiro 99. Kauan Kelvin 40. Matos J. 86. Rei R. 50. Rodrigues D. 97. Rodrigues D. 58. Vilela M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Renato Luis 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Said Y. ⚽, Jean-Marie M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gildo ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
46', Figueiredo B. ↓, Ferreira D. ↑,
53', Jean-Marie M. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Benedict E. ⚽, Michel (A),
61', Ferreira A. ↓, Eiro ↑,
61', Jean-Marie M. ↓, Kauan Kelvin ↑,
66', Joao Vasco ↓, Traquina ↑,
76', Gilberto 🟨,
76', Soumare E. H. ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
77', Gilberto ↓, Valente A. ↑,
87', Said Y. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
87', Vasconcelos ↓, Rei R. ↑,
88', Tomas N. ↓, Monteiro I. ↑,
90+1', Benedict E. 🟨,
90+1', Junior M. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Rei R. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 4.

Covilhã is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Braga B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
14.04.24	Lusitânia - Covilhã	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Felgueiras - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Covilhã - Varzim	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Alverca - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLTL
- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
13.04.24	Braga B - Varzim	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Alverca - Braga B	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Atlético CP - Braga B	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Braga B - Felgueiras	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Braga B - Lusitânia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
24.02.24	Braga B - Covilhã	0:0
Portuguese Liga 2
27.04.19	Braga B - Covilhã	1:2
02.01.19	Covilhã - Braga B	1:0
25.03.18	Covilhã - Braga B	1:0
21.10.17	Braga B - Covilhã	0:1
04.02.17	Braga B - Covilhã	0:1
24.08.16	Covilhã - Braga B	1:3

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