Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 8

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Alverca		Braga B

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.05	3.25	3.3
	2.12	3.28	3.69
	2.12	3.28	3.69
	2.01	3.22	3.46
	2.04	3.15	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.08)	3.21 ↓ (3.22)	3.44 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
44.6%

Draw
28.7%

Braga B
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Braga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Costa J. ⚽,
27', Marques T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marques T. ↓, Ferreira A. ↑,
46', Junior M. ↓, Matos J. ↑,
46', Vitor Bruno ↓, Lucas J. ↑,
46', Kauan Kelvin ↓, Jean-Marie M. ↑,
57', Oliveira A. 🟨,
58', 🟨,
63', Luiz Miguel ↓, Jesus P. ↑,
63', Costa J. ↓, Hachadi K. ↑,
71', Ze Oliveira 🟨,
76', Joao Bravim 🟨,
83', Matos J. 🟨,
86', Dias R. 🟨,
88', Silva R. ↓, Sagna P. ↑,
90+4', Martins D. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alverca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Alverca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
31.03.24	Alverca - Lusitânia	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Académica Coimbra - Alverca	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Alverca - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Varzim - Alverca	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Felgueiras - Alverca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTWWT
- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
31.03.24	Atlético CP - Braga B	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Braga B - Felgueiras	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Braga B - Lusitânia	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Académica Coimbra - Braga B	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Braga B - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
11.02.24	Braga B - Alverca	2:1
06.05.23	Braga B - Alverca	2:0
16.04.23	Alverca - Braga B	2:1

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