Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 16

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio José Santos Pinto (Covilhã)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Covilhã		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.6	1.65
	4.4	3.71	1.74	Watch
	4.33	3.25	1.75
	4.6	3.3	1.72	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (4.24)	3.45 ↑ (3.37)	1.71 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Covilhã
20.4%

Draw
26.3%

Académica Coimbra
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

26.9%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

26.5%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Covilhã - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Académica will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pinto Galil L. G. (G) 3. Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. 5. Tiago Caveira 33. Calegari A. 77. Silva M. 10. Mica (C) 6. Barbosa A. 79. Liberal A. 27. Pimenta T. 99. Niang C. 55. Garcia F.	98. Alves C. (G) 11. Farias E. 3. Teixeira R. 4. Silva G. 15. Kaka 6. Montez A. 28. Cascavel 5. Silva L. (C) 17. Marcos Paulo 14. Triana C. 93. Souza B.
Substitutes
26. Balsa C. 14. Brito P. 19. Cruz F. 21. Cunha V. 9. Faria R. 20. Ferreira R. 22. Gomes Silva E. 74. Igreja T. (G) 96. Jailson 28. Lontsi V. 24. Loureiro G. 78. Peixoto R. 13. Ribeiro P. 88. Suleiman S.	9. Barbosa N. 21. Candeias D. 18. Cuba 12. Gabriel Passos 23. Karseladze J. 1. Macedo N. (G) 8. Pereira F. 10. Pereira N. 20. Sinisterra J. 7. Tiago Andre 27. Vitor G.

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 1.

Recent form of Covilhã has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Académica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Académica is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Covilhã won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
04.01.26	Lusitano GC - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Covilhã - Belenenses	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	Mafra - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Covilhã - União de Santarém	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	1 Dezembro - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTT
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
04.01.26	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Académica Coimbra - Lusitano GC	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Belenenses - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Académica Coimbra - Mafra	3:3 ✺
29.11.25	União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
05.10.25	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	0:1
06.04.25	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	1:1
01.03.25	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	2:1
10.11.24	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	3:4
11.08.24	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	1:1
07.04.24	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	1:1
10.02.24	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	0:0

Upcoming Matches