Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 6

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Braga B		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.68	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	4.77	3.7	1.75
	4.78	3.7	1.76
	4.51	3.54	1.69
	4.4	3.55	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (2.83)	3.54 ↑ (3.14)	1.78 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga B
21.6%

Draw
26.2%

Felgueiras
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.3%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

29%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braga B's form might have worsened.

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felgueiras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braga B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felgueiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Braga B - Felgueiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Braga B will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Felgueiras will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
63. Beirao R. 31. Bernardo 55. Chissumba 61. Eiro 46. Junior M. 99. Kauan Kelvin 66. Moreira V. (C) 59. Said Y. 90. Soumare E. H. 80. Vasconcelos 73. Ze Pedro	24. Pinto B. (G) 77. Andrade D. 29. Banguera E. 9. Carlos Eduardo . Gabi 7. Ktatau 8. Landinho 14. Lemos I. M. 20. Moura M. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 28. Rosas P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Beirao R. ⚽,
40', 🟨,
45+1', Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 🟨,
45+2', Vasconcelos 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 🟨,
56', Landinho ⚽,
74', Kauan Kelvin ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
74', Vasconcelos ↓, Idalecio ↑,
83', Pereira M. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
90+1', Bruninho 🟨,
90+5', ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: ) and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braga B won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Felgueiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Felgueiras is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Braga B won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Braga B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
10.03.24	Braga B - Lusitânia	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Académica Coimbra - Braga B	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Braga B - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Varzim - Braga B	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Braga B - Alverca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWTLW
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
09.03.24	Felgueiras - Varzim	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Felgueiras - Alverca	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Felgueiras - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Atlético CP - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
12.01.24	Braga B - Felgueiras	3:3
29.09.23	Felgueiras - Braga B	1:0
22.04.23	Braga B - Felgueiras	1:0
02.04.23	Felgueiras - Braga B	2:0
17.02.23	Felgueiras - Braga B	1:3
06.11.22	Braga B - Felgueiras	1:1
29.01.22	Braga B - Felgueiras	3:1

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