Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio 1.º de Maio (Braga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Braga B		Amarante

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.98	2.98
	2.54	3.05	3.09
	2.42	2.87	3.18	Watch
	2.43	3.1	2.98	Watch
	2.15	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.19)	3 ↓ (3.08)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga B
39.1%

Draw
30.9%

Amarante
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.9%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Braga B - Amarante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Carvalho J. (G) 76. Marques T. 81. Pascoal F. 96. Sousa A. 82. Costa G. 61. Ferreira T. 80. Vasconcelos (C) 70. Mordomo R. 60. Lomba J. 89. Duarte A. 67. Patrao A.	1. Duarte M. (G) 3. Mendes F. 88. Aguiar E. 64. Vila D. 2. Ribeiro O. 10. Rodrigues D. 6. Almeida F. 8. Helder Pedro 28. Pedro R. 12. Lawrence 90. Arome
Substitutes
72. Aragao J. 66. Dias G. (G) 86. Franca F. 92. Gil A. 40. Matos Joao 62. Matos N. 85. Nanque E. 59. Said Y. 97. SIlva K.	30. Antunes Tiago C. J. 13. Flores R. (G) 5. Innusah H. 20. Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 99. Roger 23. Saint-Louis J. 17. Sousa G. 80. Ventura 22. Vivas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Sousa A. 🟨,
27', Ribeiro O. 🟨,
41', Mendes F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Pedro R. 🟨,
61', Duarte A. ↓, Aragao J. ↑,
61', Patrao A. ↓, Said Y. ↑,
70', Arome ↓, Saint-Louis J. ↑,
70', Rodrigues D. ↓, Innusah H. ↑,
72', Mordomo R. ↓, SIlva K. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Vasconcelos (Pen),
82', Nanque E. ↓, Barbosa G. ↑,
82', Costa G. ↓, Franca F. ↑,
84', Mendes F. ↓, Roger ↑,
84', Almeida F. ↓, Antunes Tiago C. J. ↑,
90', Helder Pedro ↓, Ventura ↑,
90+2', Barbosa G. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Braga B might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Braga B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Braga B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Amarante - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.97%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
28.09.25	Marco 09 - Braga B	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Braga B - Sanjoanense	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Braga B	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Braga B - Varzim	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Trofense - Braga B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTTWL
- Amarante FC
Portuguese Liga 3
28.09.25	Amarante - São João de Ver	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Amarante - União de Santarém	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.25	Marco 09 - Amarante	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Tirsense - Amarante	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
24.08.25	Amarante - Sanjoanense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
12.01.25	Amarante - Braga B	1:1
29.09.24	Braga B - Amarante	0:0
Club Friendly
24.07.19	Amarante - Braga B	0:2

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