Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio 1.º de Maio (Braga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Braga B		Sanjoanense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	3.95
	1.75	3.98	4.36
	1.77	3.87	4.08	Watch
	1.75	3.5	3.9
	1.74	3.79	4.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.23)	3.71 ↑ (3.36)	4.12 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Braga B
52.7%

Draw
24.9%

Sanjoanense
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

25.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Braga B's performance.

Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sanjoanense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Braga B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sanjoanense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Braga B - Sanjoanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Carvalho J. (G) 76. Marques T. 40. Matos Joao 96. Sousa A. 82. Costa G. 60. Lomba J. 61. Ferreira T. 95. Vidigal S. 80. Vasconcelos (C) 79. Furtado R. 11. Merheg S. J.	36. Duarte A. (G) 2. Martins J. 6. Serra A. 5. Santos R. 12. Vitinha (C) 13. Pinheiro Edu 16. Gomes V. 20. Andrezinho 19. Cezar F. 30. Talles Wander 33. Sa G.
Substitutes
72. Aragao J. 47. Araujo M. 66. Dias G. (G) 89. Duarte A. 92. Gil A. 63. Moraes G. 70. Mordomo R. 85. Nanque E. 64. Oliveira L.	25. Couto J. 21. Gomes R. 10. Kiko Felix 24. Maio F. 1. Monteiro J. (G) 3. Nando 8. Podstawski T. 7. Rocha T. 11. Shodipo O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Cezar F. ⚽,
30', Sa G. 🟨,
43', Sa G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sousa A. ↓, Nanque E. ↑,
46', Cezar F. ↓, Nando ↑,
46', Sousa A. ↓, Nanque E. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Merheg S. J. ⚽, Furtado R. (A),
58', 🟨,
62', Merheg S. J. 🟨,
68', 1 - 2, Talles Wander ⚽, Martins J. (A),
71', Lomba J. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
71', Vidigal S. ↓, Aragao J. ↑,
73', Andrezinho ↓, Podstawski T. ↑,
75', Santos R. 🟨,
81', Vasconcelos ↓, Moraes G. ↑,
82', Nanque E. 🟨,
85', Santos R. ↓, Maio F. ↑,
88', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90', Talles Wander ↓, Kiko Felix ↑,
90', Gomes V. ↓, Couto J. ↑,
90+4', Nando 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga B won 1.

Braga B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sanjoanense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Braga B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Braga B might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Braga B won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:16. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Braga B won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
12.04.26	Paredes - Braga B	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Braga B - São João de Ver	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sanjoanense - Braga B	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	São João de Ver - Braga B	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Braga B - Paredes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTTW
- AD Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3
11.04.26	Sanjoanense - Fafe	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Marco 09 - Sanjoanense	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sanjoanense - Braga B	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Sanjoanense - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Fafe - Sanjoanense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.03.26	Sanjoanense - Braga B	2:2
20.12.25	Sanjoanense - Braga B	0:2
24.09.25	Braga B - Sanjoanense	2:2
30.03.25	Braga B - Sanjoanense	0:0
09.03.25	Sanjoanense - Braga B	1:1
26.01.25	Sanjoanense - Braga B	2:2
27.10.24	Braga B - Sanjoanense	2:2

Upcoming Matches