Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 9

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Marco de Canaveses (Marco de Canaveses)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Marco 09		Braga B

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.4
	1.99	3.44	3.97
	1.93	3.46	3.8	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.7
	1.88	3.24	3.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.88)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)	3.74 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco 09
47.4%

Draw
28%

Braga B
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

29%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

28.7%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Braga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Marco 09 - Braga B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Ze Couto (G) 23. Garro L. 5. Nandinho 6. Pacheco F. 3. Pedro M. (C) 7. Pedro P. 88. Silva D. 33. Silva J. 9. Soares P. 2. Sousa B. 95. Sousa V.	78. Carvalho J. (G) 82. Costa G. 61. Ferreira T. 79. Furtado R. 92. Gil A. 60. Lomba J. 76. Marques T. 11. Merheg S. J. 53. Noro J. (C) 81. Pascoal F. 95. Vidigal S.
Substitutes
99. Carvalho D. (G) 14. Doukoure H. 79. Erivaldo 27. Guimaraes B. 18. Martins D. 11. Mauro Ribeiro 21. Pedrosa C. 25. Pereira H. 17. Teixeira T.	72. Aragao J. 47. Araujo M. 66. Dias G. (G) 89. Duarte A. 99. Kauan Kelvin 40. Matos Joao 62. Matos N. 85. Nanque E. 59. Said Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 🟨,
67', Merheg S. J. ↓, Said Y. ↑,
77', Sousa V. ↓, Pedrosa C. ↑,
78', Silva J. ↓, Erivaldo ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Noro J. (Own goal),
86', Pedro P. 🟨,
87', Marques T. ↓, Aragao J. ↑,
88', Nandinho ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
88', Lomba J. ↓, Kauan Kelvin ↑,
90', Pedro P. ↓, Martins D. ↑,
90+4', Costa G. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Marco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Braga B's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Marco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marco is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Marco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Marco 09
Portuguese Liga 3
18.04.26	Marco 09 - Fafe	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	São João de Ver - Marco 09	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Marco 09 - Sanjoanense	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Fafe - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Sanjoanense - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTTTT
- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
19.04.26	Braga B - Sanjoanense	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Paredes - Braga B	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Braga B - São João de Ver	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sanjoanense - Braga B	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	São João de Ver - Braga B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
22.02.26	Braga B - Marco 09	2:0
04.01.26	Braga B - Marco 09	2:1
28.09.25	Marco 09 - Braga B	2:2

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