Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 13

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio 1.º de Maio (Braga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Braga B		Vitoria Guimarães B

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.88	2.82
	2.63	2.93	3.07
	2.53	2.96	2.97	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.9
	2.45	2.84	2.93	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.4)	2.86 ↓ (2.87)	2.93 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Braga B
36.7%

Draw
32.1%

Vitoria Guimarães B
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

32%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

32.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Braga B - Vitoria Guimarães B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Carvalho J. (G) 62. Matos N. (C) 81. Pascoal F. 41. da Rocha Y. 82. Costa G. 60. Lomba J. 61. Ferreira T. 95. Vidigal S. 80. Vasconcelos 67. Patrao A. 99. Kauan Kelvin	99. Guilherme (G) 96. Rodrigo Silva 28. Thiago Balieiro 75. Oliveira A. 82. Dias F. 80. Rocha R. 14. Duarte R. 46. Nunes H. (C) 87. Paula G. 62. Fernando Silva 88. Nogueira M.
Substitutes
84. Abreu R. 72. Aragao J. 66. Dias G. (G) 89. Duarte A. 76. Marques T. 70. Mordomo R. 85. Nanque E. 59. Said Y. 96. Sousa A.	76. Alcobia 79. Carvalho D. 81. Fernandes J. (G) 73. Miguel Vaz 32. Tepe M. 56. Verdi S. 95. Vunge J. 50. Zeega

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Rodrigo Silva 🟨,
16', Pascoal F. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
30', Vidigal S. ↓, Aragao J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Thiago Balieiro ↓, Alcobia ↑,
58', Dias F. 🟥,
60', Duarte R. ↓, Tepe M. ↑,
65', Nunes H. 🟨,
70', Ferreira T. ↓, Dias G. ↑,
70', Kauan Kelvin ↓, Said Y. ↑,
70', Patrao A. ↓, Nanque E. ↑,
73', Duarte A. 🟨,
75', Fernando Silva ↓, Zeega ↑,
75', Nogueira M. ↓, Miguel Vaz ↑,
83', Paula G. ↓, Martins J. ↑,
86', Nanque E. 🟨,
90', da Rocha Y. 🟨,
90+3', Vasconcelos 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga B won 1.

Braga B is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guimarães B is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Braga B won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Braga B won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
07.12.25	Varzim - Braga B	3:1 ✺
01.12.25	Braga B - Trofense	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Paredes - Braga B	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Braga B - Fafe	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	São João de Ver - Braga B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWL
- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
06.12.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - São João de Ver	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Amarante - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Marco 09	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Sanjoanense	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Fafe - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Braga B	0:0
30.01.23	Braga B - Vitoria Guimarães B	3:0
08.10.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Braga B	2:2
09.01.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Braga B	2:0
27.08.21	Braga B - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.02.20	Braga B - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:3
13.09.19	Vitoria Guimarães B - Braga B	2:0

Upcoming Matches