Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Nº5 Comp Desp Dr Antº Pime Machado (Guimarães)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vitoria Guimarães B		Sanjoanense

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.4
	2.32	3.16	3.04	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.67
	2.22	3.17	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.32)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	3.37 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães B
43.4%

Draw
29.1%

Sanjoanense
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Vitoria Guimarães B - Sanjoanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Gui (G) 28. Thiago Balieiro 75. Oliveira A. 82. Dias F. 96. Rodrigo Silva 80. Rocha R. 46. Nunes H. (C) 87. Paula G. 14. Duarte R. 62. Fernando Silva 88. Nogueira M.	1. Monteiro J. (G) 4. Cardoso R. 2. Martins J. 3. Nando 24. Maio F. 6. Daniel J. (C) 13. Pinheiro Edu 30. Talles Wander 25. Couto J. 19. Cezar F. 17. Lopes M.
Substitutes
76. Alcobia 79. Carvalho D. 85. Duarte M. 99. Guilherme (G) 57. Martins J. 73. Miguel Vaz 93. Rika 32. Tepe M. 89. Vieira A.	27. Calo A. 23. Collazos J. 20. Correia L. 36. Duarte A. (G) 16. Gomes V. 9. Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. 84. Mosquera S. 5. Santos R. 7. Tipote L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Rodrigo Silva 🟨,
31', Martins J. 🟨,
36', Fernando Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Rocha R. 🟨,
57', Talles Wander ↓, Gomes V. ↑,
59', Duarte R. ↓, Miguel Vaz ↑,
60', Fernando Silva ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
60', Nogueira M. ↓, Vieira A. ↑,
61', Vieira A. 🟨,
73', Couto J. ↓, Correia L. ↑,
81', Cezar F. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
81', Lopes M. ↓, Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. ↑,
83', Paula G. ↓, Martins J. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Miguel Vaz ⚽,
90+2', Rocha R. ↓, Alcobia ↑,
90+3', Mosquera S. 🟨,
90+5', Martins J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Guimarães B is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sanjoanense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guimarães B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guimarães B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guimarães B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
25.10.25	Fafe - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Varzim - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Paredes - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Braga B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLTT
- AD Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3
26.10.25	Sanjoanense - Varzim	3:3 ✺
04.10.25	Trofense - Sanjoanense	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Sanjoanense - Paredes	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Braga B - Sanjoanense	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.25	Sanjoanense - Felgueiras	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
07.01.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - Sanjoanense	0:1
27.08.22	Sanjoanense - Vitoria Guimarães B	3:1
23.01.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Sanjoanense	3:3
03.10.21	Sanjoanense - Vitoria Guimarães B	3:1

Vitoria Guimarães B - Sanjoanense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide