Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 7

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal das Laranjeiras (Paredes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Paredes		Braga B

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.35
	1.81	3.1	5.94
	1.76	3.17	5.39	Watch
	1.75	2.9	4.6
	1.79	3.43	4.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.77)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	4.97 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paredes
52.2%

Draw
29.2%

Braga B
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

28.5%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

28.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Braga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Paredes - Braga B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Matos F. (G) 2. Araujo P. 3. Duarte D. P. 6. Matheus Brito 23. Macedo Z. 21. Veiga D. 44. Ferreira P. 84. Yuk J. 7. Miguel 8. Carvalho D. 99. Balelo	78. Carvalho J. (G) 76. Marques T. 81. Pascoal F. 96. Sousa A. 82. Costa G. 60. Lomba J. 61. Ferreira T. 95. Vidigal S. 80. Vasconcelos 89. Duarte A. 11. Merheg S. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
6', Pascoal F. 🟥,
7', 1 - 0, Duarte D. P. (Penalty Awarded),
19', 2 - 0, Balelo ⚽,
24', 3 - 0, Miguel ⚽,
26', 4 - 0, Balelo ⚽,
36', Duarte A. ↓, Furtado R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 4 - 1, Vidigal S. ⚽,
66', Yuk J. ↓, Soares A. ↑,
66', Veiga D. ↓, Lemos I. M. ↑,
71', 🟨,

Preview

Paredes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Braga B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Paredes is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paredes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Paredes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
22.03.26	Fafe - Paredes	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	São João de Ver - Paredes	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Paredes - Fafe	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Braga B - Paredes	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Paredes - Sanjoanense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLW
- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
21.03.26	Braga B - São João de Ver	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sanjoanense - Braga B	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	São João de Ver - Braga B	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Braga B - Paredes	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Braga B - Marco 09	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
01.03.26	Braga B - Paredes	1:0
08.11.25	Paredes - Braga B	2:0
08.08.25	Braga B - Paredes	1:0
23.01.23	Braga B - Paredes	0:1
18.09.22	Paredes - Braga B	0:1

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