The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bragança 63.3%
Draw 24%
Mirandela 12.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
25.8%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.2%
24.1%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bragança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bragança's performance.
Mirandela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirandela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandela than the current prediction. (+5%)
Bragança - Mirandela Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
32', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 10 in the zone Relegation).
Bragança is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Mirandela is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Mirandela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bragança is the team to beat.
We predict that Bragança will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bragança won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Bragança won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
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