The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bragança 70.8%
Draw 19%
Vilaverdense 10.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.1%
21.5%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.9%
20.3%
10.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bragança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Bragança - Vilaverdense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).
Recent performances by Bragança have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Vilaverdense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Bragança may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bragança is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bragança won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bragança won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
Watch
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