Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Bragança		Rebordosa

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.05	3.1
	2.18	2.95	3.2
	2.21	3.05	3.21	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.1
	2.13	3.14	3.19
	1.96	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.96)	3 ↑ (2.9)	3.2 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bragança
42%

Draw
29.9%

Rebordosa
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

30%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28.1%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bragança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Rebordosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bragança, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (-4%)

Bragança - Rebordosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
43', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Bragança is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Rebordosa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bragança is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bragança won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Bragança won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	GD Braganca	4	3	1	0	7:2	5	10
9	Rebordosa	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Bragança
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
18.04.26	Bragança - Vilaverdense	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Chaves B - Bragança	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Camacha - Bragança	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Bragança - Limianos	4:1 ✺
15.03.26	Machico - Bragança	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWWL
- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.04.26	Florgrade - Rebordosa	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Rebordosa - Leça	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Vila Real - Rebordosa	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Vila Meã - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Rebordosa - Aparecida	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.03.25	Rebordosa - Bragança	0:0
10.11.24	Bragança - Rebordosa	3:0
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Rebordosa - Bragança	2:1

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