Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 24

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube (Leca da Palmeira)


	Leça		Aparecida

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.25	5.9
	1.32	5.2	6.07
	1.34	5.15	6.48	Watch
	1.3	4.6	7.5
	1.37	4.7	7.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.39)	4.78 ↑ (4.45)	6.65 ↑ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
67.4%

Draw
19%

Aparecida
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

20.3%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

20.1%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Aparecida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecida than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Leça - Aparecida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, ⚽,
34', 3 - 0, ⚽,
37', 4 - 0, ⚽,
45', 5 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Leça is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group

Leça is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aparecida has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Leça is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leça won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.03.26	Resende - Leça	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Leça - Salgueiros 08	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Beira-Mar - Leça	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Leça - Anadia	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Gouveia - Leça	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWTTW
- Aparecida FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.03.26	Aparecida - Vila Real	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Rebordosa - Aparecida	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Vila Meã - Aparecida	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Aparecida - Resende	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Salgueiros 08 - Aparecida	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.12.25	Aparecida - Leça	3:4

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