Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 24

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Machico		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.9
	1.77	4.04	3.9
	1.77	3.99	3.6	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.76	3.84	3.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.86)	3.73 ↑ (3.3)	3.75 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machico
51.3%

Draw
24.4%

Vilaverdense
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

26.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

25.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machico than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Machico - Vilaverdense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation)

Machico has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vilaverdense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Machico is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Machico won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.03.26	Camacha - Machico	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Machico - Bragança	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Machico - Brito	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	São Martinho - Machico	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Machico - Vianense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWWL
- Vilaverdense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.03.26	Vilaverdense - Brito	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	São Martinho - Vilaverdense	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Vilaverdense - Vianense	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Tirsense - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Vilaverdense - Chaves B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.12.25	Vilaverdense - Machico	1:1

Machico - Vilaverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide