Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Machico		Bragança

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.05	2.3
	2.67	2.95	2.56
	2.74	3.05	2.50	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.5
	2.66	2.95	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.05)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)	2.47 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machico
32.9%

Draw
30.6%

Bragança
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

28.9%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

29.2%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Bragança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bragança might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machico than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bragança could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Machico - Bragança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 🟥,
83', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Machico is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bragança has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bragança could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Machico won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	GD Braganca	4	3	1	0	7:2	5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.03.26	Machico - Brito	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	São Martinho - Machico	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Machico - Vianense	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Tirsense - Machico	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Machico - Chaves B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLTW
- GD Bragança
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.03.26	Bragança - Desportivo Monção	1:4 ✺
01.03.26	Brito - Bragança	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Bragança - Mirandela	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	São Martinho - Bragança	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Bragança - Ribeira Brava	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.11.25	Bragança - Machico	4:1

Machico - Bragança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide