Match Info

Date: 30 September 2021, Thursday


	Brage		Vasalund

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.66	3.9	4.33
	1.63	4.2	4.4	Watch
	1.71	3.75	4.2
	1.77	4.01	4.5
	1.7	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.74	3.94	4.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.99)	3.9 ↑ (3.38)	4.43 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brage
54.9%

Draw
24%

Vasalund
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.3%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

18.5%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brage's performance.

Vasalund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasalund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brage than the current prediction. (-23.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brage that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasalund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	17.6%	11.8%

Brage - Vasalund Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Brage will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). Vasalund will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brage: 55.3% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Brage is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Brage won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Brage won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
25.09.21	Jönköpings Södra - Brage	0:0 ✺
18.09.21	Brage - GAIS	1:4 ✺
11.09.21	Trelleborg - Brage	3:1 ✺
04.09.21	Brage - Landskrona	1:0 ✺
28.08.21	AFC Eskilstuna - Brage	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLWL
- Vasalunds IF
Swedish Superettan
25.09.21	Vasalund - Akropolis	0:1 ✺
18.09.21	AFC Eskilstuna - Vasalund	1:2 ✺
13.09.21	Vasalund - Sundsvall	1:2 ✺
05.09.21	Norrby - Vasalund	0:0 ✺
29.08.21	Vasalund - GAIS	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
02.05.21	Vasalund - Brage	1:0
Swedish Division 1 Norra
29.10.17	Brage - Vasalund	3:3
11.06.17	Vasalund - Brage	0:0
23.10.16	Vasalund - Brage	3:1
01.05.16	Brage - Vasalund	1:1
06.09.15	Vasalund - Brage	2:3
26.04.15	Brage - Vasalund	3:0

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