Match Info

Date: 13 September 2021, Monday


	Vasalund		Sundsvall

	1	X	2
	3.6	4	1.85	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.93
	3.25	3.8	1.98	Watch
	3.45	3.5	1.94
	3.55	3.66	2.09
	3.6	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.42	3.74	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.95)	3.66 ↑ (3.48)	1.97 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasalund
26.9%

Draw
25.6%

Sundsvall
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

26.8%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

19.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasalund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Sundsvall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sundsvall's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sundsvall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	15%	65%

Vasalund - Sundsvall Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Vasalund will win (votes: 8 - 20%). Sundsvall will win (votes: 26 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sundsvall: 50.2% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Recent matches Vasalunds is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sundsvall is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vasalunds could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sundsvall will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vasalunds won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Vasalunds won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasalunds IF
Swedish Superettan
05.09.21	Norrby - Vasalund	0:0 ✺
29.08.21	Vasalund - GAIS	3:4 ✺
23.08.21	Helsingborg - Vasalund	0:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
18.08.21	Ytterhogdal - Vasalund	3:2
Swedish Superettan
15.08.21	Vasalund - Falkenberg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLTLW
- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Superettan
06.09.21	Sundsvall - Örgryte	0:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
26.08.21	Umeå - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
22.08.21	Sundsvall - AFC Eskilstuna	3:1 ✺
14.08.21	Sundsvall - Värnamo	2:0 ✺
07.08.21	Falkenberg - Sundsvall	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
15.05.21	Sundsvall - Vasalund	3:2
Svenska Cupen
21.08.13	Vasalund - Sundsvall	2:4

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