The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chesham United 40.5%
Draw 24.2%
Chelmsford City 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.7%
25.9%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
25.3%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Chesham United - Chelmsford City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 19th and 16th).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Chesham has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 1:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chesham against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).
Outrights of English National League South for now
Chelmsford: 5.21% Chesham: 0.78%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Chelmsford
9
1
8
0
9:8
1
11
19
Chesham
10
3
1
6
16:19
-3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Chesham United - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.7%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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