Match Info
National League South - Round 44Date: 11 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Twerton Park (Bath)
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Bath City |
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Chesham United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
5.15 |
4.05 |
1.55 |
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 |
4.9 |
4.01 |
1.63 |
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4.52 |
4.45 |
1.6 |
 Watch |
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4.8 |
4 |
1.6 |
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4.93 |
3.94 |
1.63 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.86 ↑
(4.31) |
4.09 ↑
(3.67) |
1.6 ↓
(1.75) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bath City
19.1% | Draw
22.8% | Chesham United
58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)Bath City - Chesham United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 1', 1 - 0, Wilson D. ⚽,
- 8', 2 - 0, Adebiyi C. (Own goal),
- 16', 3 - 0, Wilson S. ⚽,
- 28', 3 - 1, Bennetts J. ⚽,
- 31', 3 - 2, Yearn K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Young A. 🟥,
- 54', 4 - 2, Wilson S. ⚽,
- 69', Windsor O. 🟥,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 8).Recent form of Bath has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Chesham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). In this match, Chesham is seen as the favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bath won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).Including home match between the teams, Bath won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Outrights of English National League South for now
Chesham: 0.78%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 19 | Chesham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 10 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Bath City - the odds 4.31 are the expected chance of winning is 21.56%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League South | | | 06.09.25 | Chesham United - Bath City | 0:0 | | 25.01.25 | Bath City - Chesham United | 1:1 | | 05.10.24 | Chesham United - Bath City | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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